Metal Forming Machine Industry Prospects and Prospectsate
November 07, 2018
First, the requirements of the sheet forming machine are driven by the consumption of the sheet. From the point of view of equipment usage, the forming machine is mainly used for forgings and plate processing; and the Machine Tool Industry Association is making statistics according to the types of machine tools, including shearing machines and bending and folding straightening. The machine belongs to the plate processing machine tool, and the mechanical presses and hydraulic machines with larger specific gravity include the forging press forgings and the punching machine plate processing.
From the perspective of direct demand, the proportion of steel plates in domestic steel consumption is still low. In 2010, the domestic steel consumption was about 650 million tons, and the proportion of sheet steel was less than 50%, while the corresponding data in developed countries generally reached 6070%. In the downstream demand for steel, the construction industry accounted for more than 50%, machinery manufacturing and consumption accounted for 16%; again, transport and equipment related industries, including containers, railways, shipbuilding and automobiles, and the rest for household appliances, oil and gas, and other industries. .
Due to the different consumption structure of steel products in the downstream industries, although the construction industry is the largest consumer of steel products, most of which are steel wire and profiles, the pulling effect on forming machines is not obvious. Sheet forming machines serve the entire sheet metal processing industry chain. The growth in sheet metal consumption in the downstream industry is the driving force for the growth of sheet forming machine tools.
Second, the long-term growth trend of CNC machine tools clear an industry's overall revenue growth to benefit import substitution in the past 10 years, the high growth of the forming machine tool industry is driven by two factors: the expansion of market size and import substitution. During the same period, the compound growth rate of the sales value of the forming machine tool industry was 24%, and the compound annual growth rate of apparent consumption was 17%. The reason for import substitution was that the product structure of the industry itself improved product quality and improved the numerical control rate.
The domestic forming machine tool market has long relied heavily on imported equipment. Before 2003, the localization rate of machine tools was less than 45%. In 200910, the domestic machine tool market share remained at around 75%. The large increase in the localization rate was mainly due to the structural growth of the forming machine tool industry, mainly in two aspects: 1. The overall improvement of the NC ratio was the development of downstream manufacturing upgrades. Trends; 2. The improvement of the performance of the forming machine's sheeting machine is manifested in better and better processing performance and higher and higher performance of the functional components; and the improvement of the types of machine tools, such as the replacement of the numerical control turret punch press, from the initial mechanical presses. Upgraded to hydraulically actuated, then a new generation of mechanical servo drives.
Benefiting from the increase in the localization rate, the growth in the sales value of the forming machine tool industry will be significantly higher than the apparent amount of consumption. The reason for the increase in the localization rate is that the continuous upgrading of the industrialization of the industry is an important indicator.
II. The rate of NC is increasing, and the space in the future is vast. The increase in localization rate is fundamentally due to product structure adjustment. We use the rate of NC to measure the product structure of the industry.
1 The space of the numerical control machine tool is wide The numerical control of the forming machine is relatively low at present. By the end of 2010, the numerical control rate of metal cutting machine tools reached 29.62%, and the numerical control rate of production value was close to 60%; the numerical control rate of metal forming machine tools was only 4.67%, and the numerical control rate of output value was less than 30%. The domestic forming machine started later than the cutting machine tool, and the forming process itself has a low degree of precision. Therefore, the numerical control level of the forming machine tool is lower than that of the cutting machine tool.
From the perspective of product structure, the key enterprises of metal forming machine tools in China mainly use mechanical presses, which are mainly traditional hand-controlled forging machines and have low-end product structures.
